Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Predictit: Brexit Will Lose


A few days ago, Milo Yiannopoulos filmed a video ad for Brexit, standing next to a stream in the Alaskan wilderness. As light rain began to increasingly pelt his $3,000 suit, "God Save the Queen" could be heard on the soundtrack.

That heroic effort probably won't be enough.

Though many polls have Brexit ahead, Predictit - one of the leading prediction markets - has Brexit trading at only 26 cents. That's 3:1 it won't win.

From what I can gather in the various comment threads, there's a lot of cynicism that in a close vote, the "establishment" will figure out some way to tilt things.

We'll see.

Notably, tomorrow is also the 17th of Ramadan - the anniversary of the Battle of Badr -  a day that Jihadists hold close to their hearts.

According to the Koran, it was on this day that Allah told Muhammad to "make great slaughter on the land" and massacre his captives.

Happy Feast.

4 comments:

  1. One thing I've noticed from reading English newspapers is that the Brits love to complain but never do anything. I don't think they're going to leave the EU.

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  2. Well if they don't leave, that is the end of England. Period. And it's not even the Muslim issue. Under the EU they have lost their freedom. Of course there's also the fact that at least one Muslim country is now part of the EU..

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    1. Wow! A song came to mind the instant I finished reading your words: Living On A Thin Line by the Kinks.

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  3. I don't know if the site you linked to is using bookie information, but

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-22/something-strange-emerges-when-looking-behind-brexit-bookie-odds

    It could just be that the people wanting to leaver are poorer, but there may be some manipulation going on...at any rate thought you might be interested in this if you haven't seen it.

    Praying that the exit happens.

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